The second half of Four Hats in the Ring takes a chapter to analyze Roosevelt, Debs, Taft, Wilson, and to some extent LaFollette. These chapters provide much insight into these men’s personalities. Roosevelt believed that if he did not gain the republican nomination, his personal fame would carry him to creating his new third party. To an extent it did. Once the progressive party was organized, Roosevelt drew large crowds whenever he spoke. However, he himself admitted that this did not necessarily mean that he had the support of these throngs of people; it was quite possible that they were only there to see the famous former president. Roosevelt was somewhat blinded with his own ambition, however, as the election approached, he knew there was little chance he would win.
The irony in Roosevelt’s losing is how progressive his ideas really were. Wilson implemented many of them in order to gain reelection in 1916. According to Gould, almost all of them were implemented sometime in the next twenty-five years.
Then there is Taft. After securing the Republican nomination, he knew there was little chance he would win; he was not that popular. However, he refused to campaign in keeping with tradition. Considering that he did not campaign himself, his vice president was very ill and died several days prior to the election, and the split in the Republican Party, it is impressive that he garnered the number of votes that he did. Although he held out hope that he would win the election, he did not expect to.
Eugene Debs certainly did not expect to win either. His stated goal was to increase the presence of the Socialist Party. Because of this, he insisted on campaigning nationally, as opposed to concentrating his efforts in areas sympathetic to the socialist agenda. Although it may have not been the resounding success he was looking for, the 1912 election did yield the greatest percentage victory for the socialist cause.
Which leaves Wilson. As the election drew nearer, he knew that he was virtually guaranteed the presidency. However, he still introduced the idea of New Freedom as his plan for improving the country. New Freedom was just the catch phrase the Democrats needed. It gave them something to say without providing much detail of what the actual plans were. Once Wilson won the election with great majorities in both the House and Senate, he basically had a blank slate to implement whatever the Democrats wanted to.
I cannot help but draw connections to Obama’s campaign. He knew that McCain winning was a long shot, especially once the economy tanked. His version of New Freedom was Change; a nice word to put on campaign posters, but no real substance to back it up. Now that he is in office with a Democrat majority in the House and Senate, he is also trying to advance the Democrat’s agenda for the country.
According to Gould, many have said that had Taft and Roosevelt reconciled their differences and ran together, the chance of a Republican victory would have been possible. However, he does not feel this would be the case. In fact, the four completing candidates, only one with a real chance, is not what he feels makes the 1912 election modern at all. It is everything else that was going on in the country at the same time.
The presidential candidates had to compete for election coverage for the first time. The American public was fascinated with the first major organized crime trial in New York City, Jim Thorpe’s wins at the Olympics, and Jim Johnson’s controversial marriage to a young white girl. Because newspapers were able to print news from around the country, these pop culture stories would grab the public’s attention away from the election.
The trend of American’s participating less in politics is shown by the voter turnout figures. The 1908 election, according to Gould one considered particularity safe and boring at the time, attracted nearly the same number of American’s to the polls as this bitter four-way race. This seems to have begun the trend of many American’s choosing to not participate in the election of their public officials.
Overall, this book was interesting to being my study of the changing nature of political campaigns. Although it did not involve a major innovation like radio, TV, or the Internet, it seems to have singled the shift to modern elections in that American’s began to not care as much about politics. As I said last week, my next reading will be The Nightly News Nightmare by Stephen Farnsworth and Robert Lichter. Perhaps this obsession with nightly campaign updates will signal a shift back to more American’s having a genuine interest in politics. As always, comments are welcome…